Overall Orange alert Tropical Cyclone for ELIAKIM-18
in Madagascar

Impact

Tropical Cyclone ELIAKIM-18 can have a medium humanitarian impact based on the maximum sustained wind speed,exposed population and vulnerability.

Meteorological source GDACS
Glide number: TC-2018-000023-MDG
Exposed countries Madagascar
Exposed population No people in Category 1 or higher
Maximum wind speed 111 km/h
Maximum storm surge 0.6 m (16 Mar 08:00 UTC)
Vulnerability High (Madagascar)

GDACS Score

GDACS alert score for Tropical Cyclones is 0.5 (GREEN Alert), 1.5 (ORANGE Alert), 2.5 (RED Alert)
For more info on GDACS alert score click here.
  Wind Storm surge Rainfall GDACS score
Current 74 km/h 0.3 m n.a. 1.5
Overall 111 km/h 0.6 m n.a. 1.5

Maximum winds, storm surge, rainfall (Current: over the next 72 h, Overall: entire TC track) based on GDACS impact

Wind

74 km/h Current Max.

Up to 19.2 million people in Tropical Storm strength or higher (see SSHS)

Impact Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Max Winds (km/h) Population in
Tropical Storm or higher
Population in
Cat 1. or higher
Countries
Orange 1 15 Mar 2018 00:00 93 17.3 million No people Madagascar, Miscellaneous (French) Indian Ocean Islands
Orange 2 15 Mar 2018 06:00 93 18.5 million No people Madagascar
Orange 3 15 Mar 2018 12:00 83 18.3 million No people Madagascar
Orange 4 15 Mar 2018 18:00 102 20.5 million No people Madagascar
Orange 5 16 Mar 2018 00:00 102 20.4 million No people Madagascar
Orange 6 16 Mar 2018 06:00 83 19.8 million No people Madagascar
Orange 7 16 Mar 2018 12:00 65 15.3 million No people Madagascar
Orange 8 16 Mar 2018 18:00 83 20 million No people Madagascar
Orange 9 17 Mar 2018 00:00 83 19.9 million No people Madagascar
Orange 10 17 Mar 2018 06:00 83 19.8 million No people Madagascar
Orange 11 17 Mar 2018 12:00 74 19.2 million No people Madagascar

Bulletin Timeline

Alert Date (UTC) Category
(SSHS)
Max winds
(km/h)
Population in
Cat.1 or higher
Population in
Tropical Storm
or higher
Location (lat, lon) Countries
GREEN
1 15 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 390000 people -14.1, 55 Madagascar
GREEN
2 15 Mar 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 2.3 million people -14.9, 53.9 Madagascar
GREEN
3 15 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 2.7 million people -15.2, 53 Madagascar
GREEN
4 15 Mar 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 93 no people 5.9 million people -15.8, 51.7 Madagascar
GREEN
5 16 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 5.9 million people -16, 51 Madagascar
GREEN
6 16 Mar 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 6.5 million people -15.8, 50.5 Madagascar
GREEN
7 16 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 7.5 million people -15.8, 50 Madagascar
GREEN
8 16 Mar 2018 18:00 Tropical storm 102 no people 8.2 million people -15.8, 49.6 Madagascar
ORANGE
9 17 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 10.9 million people -15.8, 49.6 Madagascar
ORANGE
10 17 Mar 2018 06:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 11.9 million people -15.9, 49.4 Madagascar
ORANGE
11 17 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 13.1 million people -16.5, 49.2 Madagascar
ORANGE
11 18 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 15.8 million people -18, 49.1 Madagascar
ORANGE
11 18 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 65 no people 15.1 million people -19.7, 49 Madagascar
ORANGE
11 19 Mar 2018 00:00 Tropical storm 74 no people 12.4 million people -21.7, 49.4 Madagascar
GREEN
11 19 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people 4.3 million people -23.8, 50.1 Madagascar
GREEN
11 20 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -28.3, 52.7
GREEN
11 21 Mar 2018 12:00 Tropical storm 83 no people no people -33.5, 55.3
Actual track of the current bulletin
The alert for forecast greater than 3 days is limited to Orange level.
Download:



Exposed population - AoIs

Exposed population in the potential affected countries, provinces and populated places

Countries

Country
Madagascar

Provinces

Region Province Country
Toamasina Madagascar
Mahajanga Madagascar
Antsiranana Madagascar
Antananarivo Madagascar
Fianarantsoa Madagascar
Toliara Madagascar

Populated places

Name Region Province Country City class Population
Mananara Toamasina Madagascar City 41000 people
Mandritsara Mahajanga Madagascar City -
Fenerive Toamasina Madagascar City -
Maroantsetra Toamasina Madagascar City 24000 people
Tamatave Toamasina Madagascar City 200000 people
Andapa Antsiranana Madagascar City 20000 people
Antalaha Antsiranana Madagascar City 34000 people
Ambato Boeni Mahajanga Madagascar City -
Sambava Antsiranana Madagascar City 31000 people
Marovoay Mahajanga Madagascar City 31000 people
Moramanga Toamasina Madagascar City 29000 people
Antananarivo Antananarivo Madagascar Capital 1.4 million people
Ambanja Antsiranana Madagascar City 30000 people
Vohemar Antsiranana Madagascar City -
Ambilobe Antsiranana Madagascar City 14000 people
Saka Antananarivo Madagascar City -
Antsirabe Antananarivo Madagascar City 150000 people
Ambositra Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 30000 people
Mananjary Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 27000 people
Fianarantsoa Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 160000 people
Sahasinaka Fianarantsoa Madagascar City -
Manakara Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 35000 people
Farafangana Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 25000 people
Ihosy Fianarantsoa Madagascar City 17000 people
Betroka Toliara Madagascar City -
Tolanaro Madagascar City -

Critical infrastructure

Airports, ports, nuclear plants and hydrodams at risk, if affected, are listed below.

Airports

Name IATA Code Elevation (m) Usage Runway type IFR Runway Length (ft)
Mananara Nord WMR 3 Civ. Paved No 4100
Mandritsara WMA 307 Civ. Unpaved No 3700
Sainte Marie SMS 2 Civ. Paved No 3300
Maroantsetra WMN 4 Civ. Paved No 4200
Befandriana WBD 250 Civ. Unpaved No 4100
Ambatondrazaka WAM 766 Civ. Unpaved No 4200
Tsaratanana TTS 327 Civ. Unpaved No 4300
Toamasina TMM 6 Civ. Paved Yes 7200
Port Berge WPB 65 Civ. Unpaved No 4200
Antalaha Antsirabato ANM 6 Civ. Paved No 3900
Andriamena WAD unknown 0
Andapa ZWA 473 Civ. Paved No 4100
Anahidrano 60 0
Antsohihy Ambalabe WAI 28 Civ. Paved No 4900
Bealanana WBE 1120 0
Doany DOA unknown 0
Analalava HVA 105 Civ. Unpaved No 3900
Sambava SVB 6 Civ. Paved No 5900
Madirovalo WMV unknown 0
Antananarivo Ivato TNR 1279 Civ. Paved Yes 10100
Vatomandry VAT 12 Civ. Unpaved No 3800
Ambanja IVA 11 Civ. Unpaved No 3100
Ampampamena 15 0
Atsinanana ILK 10 Civ. Unpaved No 3200
Antananarivo Arivonimamo 1450 0
Vohemar VOH 6 Civ. Paved No 4200
Ambilobe Mahavavy AMB 22 Civ. Paved No 4900
Mahanoro VVB 5 Civ. Unpaved No 4400
Tsiroanomandidy WTS 846 Civ. Unpaved No 3500
Antsirabe ATJ 1523 Civ. Unpaved No 4900
Mananjary MNJ 6 Civ. Paved No 4900
Ambatolahy AHY unknown 0
Malaimbandy WML 182 Civ. Unpaved No 3900
Fianarantsoa WFI 1115 Civ. Paved No 4100
Manakara Sud WVK 10 Civ. Paved No 3900
Ambalavao 972 Civ. Unpaved No 3600
Farafangana RVA 8 Civ. Unpaved No 3400
Ihosy IHO 762 Civ. Unpaved No 5400
Tolagnaro FTU 8 Civ. Paved No 5900

Ports

Name LOCODE Country
Mananara MGWMR Madagascar
Port Sainte Marie Madagascar
Saint Mary Island Madagascar
Fenerive Madagascar
Maroantsetra MGWMN Madagascar
Foulpointe Madagascar
Tamatave (Toamasina) MGTMM Madagascar
Antataha MGANM Madagascar
Analalava Madagascar
Andevoranto Madagascar
Sambava MGSVB Madagascar
Maromandia Madagascar
Vatomandry MGVAT Madagascar
Vohemar Madagascar
Mahanoro MGVVB Madagascar
Mananjary MGMNJ Madagascar
Manakara MGWVK Madagascar
Farafangana MGRVA Madagascar
Manantenina Madagascar
Ste Luce Madagascar
Tolanaro MGFTU Madagascar

Dams

Reservoir Dam Name River Year
Sahamaloto Sahamaloto 1958
Antanifotsy Antanifotsy 1958
Ambilivily 1954
Amboromalandy 1934
Mantasoa Varahina-Nord 1938
Tsiazompaniry Varahina-Sud 1956

Rainfall

Rainfall accumulation of the past 24h, as detected by the Global Precipitation Measurement mission of NASA. For more information, see https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/GPM/main/index.html.

...

StormSurge

0.6 m

The maximum Storm surge height is  0.6m in Maroantsetra, Madagascar. This height is estimated for 16 Mar 2018 08:00 UTC .

The JRC has developed an experimental global storm surge model. The calculations are published about 20 minutes after a new advisory is detected by GDACS. The calculations identify the populated places affected by storm surge up to three days in advance, using the forecasted track. When forecasts change, the associated storm surge changes too and alert levels may go up or down. All links, data, statistics and maps refer to the latest available calculation. If the calculation for the last advisory is not completed, the latest available calculation is shown.

Locations affected by Storm surge (171 locations). Calculation based on advisory number 11 of 17 Mar 2018 12:00:00 UTC. (Simulation using 0.5 minute resolution)

Alert Date (UTC) Name Country Storm surge height (m)
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Maroantsetra Madagascar  0.6
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.6
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Mahalevona Madagascar  0.6
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Ambanizana Madagascar  0.6
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Benjana Madagascar  0.6
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Anantoraka Madagascar  0.5
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Manambia Madagascar  0.5
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.5
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Antalavia Madagascar  0.5
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Voloina Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Rantranavona Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Fampotabe Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Rantabe Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Maintimbato Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Fananehana Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Anoromby Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Anaovandrano Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Ambatoharana Madagascar  0.4
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Vinanivao Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 06:00 Anjanozana Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 09:00 Andilamboahangy Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 16:00 Mahavanona Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 07:00 Vohitramposina Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Manambolosy Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 15:00 Fahambahy Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 15:00 Antakobola Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 07:00 Ampitabe Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 08:00 Manakambahiny Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 09:00 Mananara Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Soanierana Ivongo Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Andrangazaha Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 06:00 Ampanavoana Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Tampolo Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 09:00 Ambatofitarafana Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 09:00 Ivontaka Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 07:00 Amboditafara Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Analanampotsy Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Antanambe Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Seranambe Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 17:00 Fenerive Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Manompana Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Ampasina Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Manakalana Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 09:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Manambato Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 17:00 Antsikafoka Madagascar  0.3
17 Mar 2018 18:00 Mahambo Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 05:00 Ambila-Lemaitso Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 05:00 Vavony Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 07:00 Kalomalala Madagascar  0.3
18 Mar 2018 11:00 Marosiky Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Ampasimbe Madagascar  0.3
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Fandrarazana Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Maniroka Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 19:00 Namahoaka Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 04:00 Ampanotoamaizina Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 10:00 Maintinandry Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 10:00 Vatomandry Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Vatobe Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Antanetilava Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 06:00 Antanjokatafana Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 20:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 20:00 Foulpointe Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 11:00 Ambohidara Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 10:00 Seranandavitra Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 03:00 Tampina Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 12:00 Fadrina Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 23:00 Ambodihariha Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 23:00 Antetezambaro Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Mahanoro Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Andranotsara Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 12:00 Ambodiharina Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Tanambe Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Andanivato Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Ambatojoby Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Andramy Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Marotaola Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 13:00 Ilomotro Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 13:00 Andohonko Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Antanimandry Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Ambodibonara Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Tanambao Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Anjabe Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Andranomena Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Lonkintsy Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Lokintsy Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Lohatrozona Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Ambodiatafa Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Bobasakoa Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Andranofotsy Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 22:00 Ambodimanga Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 19:00 Tamotamo Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 00:00 Tamatave Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Manehoko Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Ankazomalemy Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Ratsianarana Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 06:00 Ambodivato Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 21:00 Vohitsara Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 21:00 Ambinanysahavary Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 12:00 Androrangambo Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 02:00 Marofinaritra Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 02:00 Ankarefo Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Vohilava Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 08:00 Ambodifototra Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 20:00 Taratasy Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Madirotelo Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Marokitrana Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Bevoay Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 07:00 Ananalava Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 15:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Ambatobe Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Anjiamalandy Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Ambariomena Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Antsahabe Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Antananabe Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Ampiambesa Madagascar  0.2
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Antetezampolaka Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 01:00 Mahatsara Madagascar  0.2
19 Mar 2018 09:00 Befasy Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Maromokotra Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 12:00 Masomeloka Madagascar  0.2
18 Mar 2018 15:00 Ambinanivolo Madagascar  0.2
17 Mar 2018 15:00 Antanamazava Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 15:00 Ambatomainty Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 06:00 Ambalabe Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 13:00 Anorotsangana Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Analalava Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Nosy Faly Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Mandrony Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Fararano Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Antsorokaka Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 15:00 Reharaka Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 16:00 Soahanina Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 13:00 Ampandrano Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Andrafialava Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Ampasibe Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 13:00 Ampasimpilily Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 17:00 Nosy-Varika Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 12:00 Ambondrombe Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 19:00 Mahela Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 19:00 Andranomahitsy Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 19:00 Ambohitsara Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 08:00 Akondro Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 23:00 Ankarimbary Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 23:00 Savana Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 12:00 Anjiabe Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 15:00 Ambato Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 14:00 Ambaramidada Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Ambanisanjo Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Ankerefo Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Bejongoro Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 00:00 Marovato Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 16:00 Appontement Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 16:00 Ankoadavo Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 00:00 Soahazo Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 00:00 Moravano Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Manampatra Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 13:00 Vilamatsa Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 17:00 Anasindrano Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 12:00 Mahatsaborimaika Madagascar  0.1
17 Mar 2018 13:00 Maromanjo Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 06:00 Manantenina Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 11:00 Ampanakana Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 07:00 Ambohitralanana Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 17:00 Ambahy Madagascar  0.1
16 Mar 2018 12:00 Antanifatsy Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 00:00 Manakara Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 21:00 Ambalavontaka Madagascar  0.1
18 Mar 2018 21:00 Mananjary Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 10:00 Esama Madagascar  0.1
19 Mar 2018 10:00 Ankaramanihy Madagascar  0.1